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Daily Chart Report ? Wednesday, December 30th, 2020

December 30, 2020

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Today’s Summary
Wednesday, December 30th, 2020

Indices: US Stocks closed higher in today's session with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 74 points or 0.24%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq inched higher by 0.13% and 0.15%, respectively. Small-Caps outperformed, rising 1.05%.

Sectors: 7 of the 11 sectors closed higher. Energy led, gaining 1.57%. Communications lagged, falling 0.67%.

Commodities: Crude Oil futures gained 0.83% to $48.40 per barrel. Gold futures moved higher by 0.56% to $1,893 per ounce.

Currencies: The US Dollar Index dropped 0.43% to its lowest level in more than 2 years.

Interest Rates: The 10-year US Treasury yield inched lower to 0.923%.

Here are the best charts, articles, and ideas being shared on the web today!

Chart of the Day

$SPX up 14% the past 2 months. Only 7 other occurrences in 40 years. 6 of prior 7 went much higher in months ahead because all happened at major lows (like March of this year); 1987 started after SPX dead flat for 9 months (box).

So, current instance nothing like the others pic.twitter.com/beQ4eSrPjl

— Urban Carmel (@ukarlewitz) December 30, 2020

Today’s Chart of the Day was shared on Twitter by Urban Carmel (@ukarlewitz). It's a monthly candlestick chart of the S&P 500 over the past 40 years, along with a 2-month rate of change indicator below. The S&P 500 is up more than 14% in the past two months. As Urban points out, this sort of strength is rare and has only occurred seven times in the past four decades. As you can see, nearly every one of these occurrences saw further gains in the months that followed. The most recent occurrence took place in May of this year, and the S&P 500 is up more than 20% since. It's easy to say stocks have gone "too far too fast" but history shows us that strength often begets more strength.

Quote of the Day

"If I have seen further, it is by standing upon the shoulders of giants."

– Isaac Newton

Top Links

5 Charts to Follow as 2021 Unfolds - Jay on the Markets
Jay Kaeppel shares five charts to watch in the new year. 

Back-to-Back Big Years for Technology - Bespoke
Bespoke breaks down the performance of the Technology sector over the past two years.

The Improbability of a 3-peat - SentimenTrader
As noted in the link above, the Technology sector has been the strongest sector for back-to-back years. In this note, Jason Goepfert explains that it would be very rare to see the Technology sector lead for three straight years.

Gold Breaks to 19-year Lows Relative to Nasdaq Stocks - All Star Charts
JC Parets discusses the underperformance in Gold and what it could mean for other asset classes.

Last Trading Day of the Year: Nasdaq Down 15 of the last 20 - Almanac Trader
Seasonality expert, Jeff Hirsch points out that the last trading day of the year (tomorrow) has a bearish bias.

Top Tweets

You’re all caught up now. Thanks for reading!