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Daily Chart Report 📈 Monday, January 22, 2024

January 22, 2024

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Today’s Summary
Monday, January 22, 2024

Indices: Russell 2000 +2.01% | Dow +0.36%  | S&P500 +0.22% | Nasdaq 100 +0.09%

Sectors: 8 of the 11 sectors closed higher. Industrials led, gaining +0.77%. Utilities lagged, falling -0.51%.

Commodities: Crude Oil futures rose +2.06% to $74.76 per barrel. Gold futures fell -0.35% to $2,022 per oz.

Currencies: The US Dollar Index rose +0.12% to $103.36.

Crypto: Bitcoin dropped -4.89% to $39,528. Ethereum dropped -5.91% to $2,311.

Volatility: The Volatility Index fell -0.98% to 13.18.

Interest Rates: The US 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.109%.

Here are the best charts, articles, and ideas shared on the web today!

Chart of the Day

🏆 Today’s Chart of the Day was shared by Charlie Bilello (@CharlieBilello).

  • While the S&P 500 reached all-time highs last week, The Russell 2000 closed in bear market territory (-20.4%).
  • The Russell 2000 has never experienced such a severe drawdown while the S&P 500 was at a record high. This sounds bearish, but history suggests otherwise.
  • Looking at the three prior extremes, Charlie points out that both indices were higher over the next year, with the Russell 2000 outperforming the S&P 500 and joining it at all-time highs. The following stats were included:
  • 1.) April 7, 1999 (-19.2% R2k Drawdown): S&P 500 gained 14.3% over the next year and R2k gained 36.5%.
  • 2.) February 13, 1991 (-13.5% R2k Drawdown): S&P 500 gained 12.1% over the next year and R2k gained 35.5%.
  • 3.) January 21, 1985 (-13.3% R2k Drawdown): S&P 500 gained 17.4% over the next year and R2k gained 18.2%.

The takeaway: The wide disparity between the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500 might seem unhealthy, but history suggests it’s not bearish.

Quote of the Day

“The more I see, the less I know for sure.”

John Lennon

Top Links

A Lot of Debate For 10 Basis Points – Bespoke
Bespoke highlights the disparity between Small-Caps and Large-Caps.

February 2024 Almanac: Second Worst S&P 500 Month Since 1950 – Almanac Trader
Jeff Hirsch looks at how stocks have historically performed in February.

Understanding and Utilizing the Ulcer Index in Investment Strategies – John Rothe
John Rothe examines a risk measure known as the Ulcer Index.

The Market is in the Midst of an ‘Unconfirmed Breakout’, Says Fairlead Strategies’ Katie Stockton – CNBC
Katie Stockton shares her technical perspective on the breakout in the S&P 500.

Two Years in the Making – The Weekly Trend Podcast
Ian McMillan and David Zarling discuss some of the most noteworthy technical developments in this podcast.

Top Tweets

You’re all caught up now. Thanks for reading!