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Daily Chart Report πŸ“ˆ Friday, March 8, 2024

March 8, 2024

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Today’s Summary

|Friday, March 8, 2024

Indices: Russell 2000 –0.10% | Dow -0.18% | S&P 500 -0.65% | Nasdaq 100 -1.53%

Sectors: 4 of the 11 sectors closed higher. Real Estate led, gaining +1.18%. Technology lagged, falling -1.49%.

Commodities: Crude Oil futures fell -1.17% to $78.01 per barrel. Gold futures rose for the seventh day, gaining +0.94% to an all-time high of $2,186 per oz.

Currencies: The US Dollar Index inched lower by -0.06% to $102.74.

Crypto: Bitcoin rose +2.01% to $68,285. Ethereum gained +0.44% to a two-year high of $3,893.

Volatility: The Volatility Index rose +2.08% to 14.73.

Interest Rates: The US 10-year Treasury yield inched lower to 4.079%.

Here are the best charts, articles, and ideas shared on the web today!

Chart of the Day

Today’s Chart of the Day was shared by David Keller (@DKellerCMT).

  • Investors feel much more optimistic now than at the end of October, thanks to a +24.4% rally in the S&P 500.
  • According to the AAII Sentiment Survey, the percentage of bulls has doubled from 23.4% at the end of October to 51.7% this week.
  • David points out that this is the 11th time bulls have exceeded 50% since the 2009 low. Three of them have occurred in the past year! Only 2 of the 11 were significant tops, while the other 9 occurred mid-cycle.

The takeaway: Sentiment matters at extremes, but it’s more of a condition than a signal. Humphrey B. Neill once said it best – β€œThe public is often right during the trends, but wrong at both ends.”

Quote of the Day

β€œBull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.”

– Sir John Templeton

Top Links

Semis Drop the Mic – Bespoke
Bespoke examines the unusually strong rally in Semiconductors ($SOX).

Gold & Bitcoin Shine While Large Cap Tech is Heavy – Trade Risk
Evan Medeiros breaks down this week’s price action.

Historic Base Breakout Coming – All Star Charts
JC Parets points out that Bitcoin is resolving out of a multi-year base again.

Who Does the Market Want to Win the Election? – LPL Financial Research
Adam Turnquist looks at how elections impact the S&P 500 and vice versa.

Will it End Badly? – The Compound and Friends
Todd Sohn joins Josh Brown and Michael Batnick to discuss ETFs, $NVDA, Small Caps, and more.

Top Tweets

You’re all caught up now. Thanks for reading!