After a decade of going nowhere, livestock futures are showing signs of life.
While other commodities have recently stolen the spotlight, the livestock space has quietly been forming some of the most powerful bases in the commodities market.
Now we’re seeing breakouts across the board - from Live Cattle to Feeder Cattle, and potentially Lean Hogs next.
Let’s walk through the setup...
Our ASC Livestock Index has broken out above a major shelf of resistance 📈
This equal-weight basket of Live Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Lean Hogs spent over a decade carving out a massive base, testing the 2014 highs multiple times before finally clearing the level.
That’s the principle of polarity in action: what was once resistance is now support.
With bulls back in control, we’re targeting the 161.8% Fibonacci extension near 221. That's almost 25% more upside from the current price!
It’s time to stop fading strength and start riding the uptrend in livestock.
Is it time for Lean Hogs to catch up? 🐷
Lean Hogs futures are lagging, but maybe not for long.
Prices are pushing against a major downtrend line...
The Fed doesn’t set the tone. It reacts to it. Always has. Always will.
This week, Waller gave the usual hint: "A serious drop in the job market could prompt more cuts, sooner."
Translation? The Fed knows it's behind. The bond market figured it out months ago.
The real story is written in the chart. The 2 Year Treasury Yield is the market’s forward looking Fed whisperer. Every cycle, the 2 year tops first. Every cycle, the Effective Federal Funds Rate follows like a lost puppy.
When the 2 year peaks and rolls, the Fed has no choice but to cut.