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Relative Strength in Growth Stocks

November 18, 2022

Note: Our Live Mid-month Conference call is this coming Monday Nov 21st @ 6PM ET. Premium Members can register here.

For quite some time we've treated Bitcoin and many Altcoins as just more stocks to choose from.

More specifically, we can argue they might be software stocks, or Tech stock of some kind.

At the very least, we've agreed that they're in the growth category and part of that long-duration trade.

And the correlations have been there to justify it.

So the divergence we've seen lately really stands out.

Regardless of market capitalization, you can see the growth stocks holding on to their June lows, but Bitcoin and many Altcoins have not.

They've gone on to make lower lows:

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording September 2022

September 20, 2022

This is the video recording of the September 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • What's the Bear Case?
  • One of worst starts to year for 60/40 portfolio in history
  • The impact of the US Dollar on Stocks
  • No lows list peaked 3 months ago
  • Best time to buy stocks in the 4 year cycle
  • Bearish sentiment persists
  • ARKK and Biotech stopped falling in May
  • S&P500 stuck below resistance 4100-4200
  • European Banks show relative strength
  • Midstream Stocks Breaking out - the full list
  • Corn, Soybeans and Wheat with huge bases
  • Silver bullish divergence vs Gold
  • Other Emerging Markets outpacing China
  • Small-cap Industrials stocks that are breaking out
  • 1-yr yield highest roc in 40 years
  • The Flippening Is Real
  • List of best trade ideas

[Video] Fox Business w/ Charles Payne: S&P500, Small-caps, Rates & Bitcoin

August 1, 2022

Last week I jumped on to Fox Business to talk markets with Charles.

He asked me about S&Ps, Russell2000 Small-caps, US 10yr Yield and Bitcoin.

It's funny, I don't think I've ever agreed this much with a TV anchor in my life.

His Technical Analysis was spot on.

So the setups are certainly there. But I think the catalysts are where we focus. And I believe that continues to be the Dollar and Rates.

Here's the full clip:

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording June 2022

June 20, 2022

This is the video recording of the June 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The S&P500 and Dow Jones Composite stuck below overhead supply
  • Major US Indexes are below their AVWAPs from the COVID lows
  • 30 consecutive weeks of more stocks making new lows than new highs
  • Seasonality could become a tailwind in July
  • Sentiment is as bad for stocks as I've ever seen
  • Relative strength out of Chinese Internet and other "culprits"
  • Bitcoin near important support
  • The US Dollar controls all of this. All eyes on DXY
  • Breadth Deterioration in Commodities
  • Long opportunities in Financials
  • Defensive Sectors are vulnerable
  • Gold is still below overhead supply
  • Copper/Gold ratio breaking down pointing to lower rates
  • Japanese Yen hits new multi-decade lows
  • Buy the dip in bonds? I think so