Welcome to my new Monthly show that I'm doing with my friend Josh Brown. He is one of the most widely followed Financial Advisors in the country, and someone who I've been arguing with about markets for the better part of 2 decades.
Every month I'll bring a handful of the the most important Monthly charts that stood out during my review. In our first episode, I wanted to discuss the S&P500 making new all-time highs, Transports leading the way in July, Rates hitting new all-time lows and Bitcoin starting a new breakout.
This is the chart that I think tells the July story best. The further to the left the asset is, the closer it is to a new a 52 week high. The higher up the asset, the better its performance in July. Notice Transports in the upper right: Relative weakness overall, BUT the best performer this month, followed by Emerging Markets, Gold and base metals. The lonely US Dollar down below stands out doesn't it?
The first thing we want to do when analyzing any asset, crypto or otherwise, is identify the direction of the primary trend. In the case of Bitcoin, the trend for the lifetime of this asset is clearly: Up.
Look at this pattern of Uptrend, Consolidation, Breakout, Uptrend, Consolidation, Breakout, Uptrend, Consolidation, Breakout, Uptrend, Consolidation.....
In this special episode of The Money Game, Phil asks me about any new trends I’m seeing for 2020. I give him both the sexy answer, that everyone seems to want to hear, and the real answer. I think this was a quick but valuable conversation about US and foreign markets, US Sectors like Technology and Financials and even what we see coming for Bitcoin. We had good timing on this conversation as we’re just getting starting the new year.
Remember Crypto Currencies? The conversations over Thanksgiving dinners in 2017 were really something. It feels like just yesterday we were still feeling the euphoria of the Crypto Craze.
So now what? What's happened since the epic 80%+ crash that destroyed the hopes and dreams of the greedy fools that fell for the 'get rich quick' appeal of the "new currency" (that wasn't really new at all)? Where is Bitcoin today?
Think about how well everything is going this year! The S&P500 is up almost 20%. Bonds are up 22% and even Gold is up 17%! Heck Bitcoin has more than doubled! Can things get any better than this???